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Sumo Group Plc - Playing for Keeps

Sumo Group (LON:SUMO) provides creative and development services to the video games and entertainment industries, through two main operating businesses: 1) Sumo Digital, representing 90% of group revenues, is a key co-development partner and turnkey video games developer with a history of working with blue-chip clients such as Sony, Microsoft, Sega and EA (among others); 2) Atomhawk, representing 10% of group revenues, is a visual design company servicing the videos games and entertainment industries.
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Listed companies in the video games space tend to command high valuation multiples, due to the growth dynamics of the industry. There is scope for Sumo to re-rate to a higher multiple, in line with peers (see p2). We argue that, given its strong growth prospects, limited risk business model, and strong cash flows, Sumo Group offers an attractive valuation at current levels.

Full report is available via Capital Network website
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Related Researches

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July 27 2017

The nanomaterials market is transitioning from a concept technology to commercial applications. Haydale (LON:HAYD) specialises in the integration of nanomaterials into commercial and industrial technologies. We argue that this is a good position to occupy within the value chain – exposed to end market growth but not exposed (negatively) to the likely future price compression in raw graphene or other nanomaterials.

Major applications for Haydale (LON:HAYD) include composite materials, specialty inks and coatings, and additive manufacturing (3D printing). The nanomaterials are graphene and silicon carbide, and potential others in future. We argue that these applications have now reached a tipping point from research to commercial reality (see pie charts p2).

In the trading update of July 19th, Haydale (LON:HAYD) announced that FY June 2017 total income (revenue and other) has doubled, meaning about £3.9m for the year. Based on the order backlog, and major projects under way, we expect further strong growth in the next few years. We consider two of the specific channels for further growth.

In November 2016 Haydale announced a Joint Development Agreement with Huntsman Corporation to develop graphene enhanced resins. Adding small amounts of graphene in the resin layers of materials like carbon fibre can dramatically improve (x10) the dissipation of electrical charge (aerospace applications) and heat (aeros and autos). The deal with Huntsman potentially dramatically accelerates Haydale’s penetration of this market.

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September 07 2017

Proactis Holdings Plc (LON:PHD) is a provider of software for Spend Control and eProcurement, systems which are used by most large organisations to manage the way they transact with their supplier base. In recent years Proactis Holdings Plc (LON:PHD) has been gaining market share, within a growing market, delivering a 35% CAGR in revenues, and 62% in EPS.

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September 15 2017

YEAR-TO-DATE PROGRESSING STRONGLY

Corero Network Security Plc (LON:CNS) H1 results release (14/092017) showed strong progress, with revenue up 51% for the flagship SmartWall product. Perhaps even more importantly the recurring revenue element for SmartWall was up 177%. This reinforces the growth profile going forward because licence fee income grows cumulatively as new customers are added. 

We believe these results demonstrate that the company has essentially completed its transition from a software generalist to a DDoS protection specialist, and that the SmartWall DDoS protection product continues rapidly gaining traction in the market.

In this report we review the progress of the group. We also revisit some of the fundamental drivers, and how the DDoS protection market functions. We argue that SmartWall’s real-time threat mitigation represents a disruptive new presence in the space.

KEY INVESTMENT THEMES

Among the main attractions of Corero Network Security Plc (LON:CNS) as an investment:

• A highly differentiated product in SmartWall which offers game-changing performance compared with anything else in the market place. • Substantial headroom for further market share gains, within a continuously growing end market for DDoS protection. • An expanding range of channels to market, and technology partners including Juniper Networks, Gigamon, and McAfee to extend Corero Network Security Plc (LON:CNS) market reach. • Support of a shareholder base that includes specialist institutions such as Miton and Herald Investment Management, and also the Chairman and principal shareholder Jens Montanana.

In this report we examine some of these themes in more detail.

INVESTMENT CONCLUSION

The shares have gained 81% since the successful fund raising in April. Still, looking forward we believe the company could reach revenues of $50m in 3-5 years. This would imply a market cap of £115m based on peer-group multiples (e.g. Radware, RDWR:NSQ), with no further fundraising required in our view, or 4x upside from the current level. If Corero continues to deliver on milestones, there is still everything to play for here for investors.
 

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