Based on historical production figures, remaining resources, updated capital and operating costs it can be argued that Salau may be worth between US$60-90mln and that if Aurenere turned out to be of similar size, then a similar valuation would apply. In addition, the stand-alone gold potential would need to be included so any estimate of company value at this stage would be unhelpfully broad. In our opinion, the market seems to have placed about half the value on the tungsten assets at Salau and the rest on the track record of the management team. We look forward to an active field season in 2018 where we expect to see further results from the field.Full report is available via Capital Network website
The key attraction for investors here is significant, near-term, cashflow generation. The simple, low cost, low capex Arapua fertilizer project has begun production on a trial mining basis. We believe the company can generate free cashflow yields of between 30-80%pa from Arapua, based on a range of reasonable sales price & volume assumptions. The most likely outcome being around ~55%pa FCF Yield (based on US$55/t sales price). The same assumptions generate a project [email protected]% of ~£60m for this project (compared to a current market cap of ~£18m). We note that the company has no debt, and should not require any fundraising to develop this project further, in our view.
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