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		<title>WHEN IFRS BLURS CASH FLOW</title>
		<link>http://www.proactiveinvestors.com/columns/veritas-investment-research/633/when-ifrs-blurs-cash-flow-0633.html</link>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 21pt 0.0001pt 18pt;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&ldquo;<em>The transition from previous GAAP to IFRS had no material effect on the reported cash flows generated by the Company</em>.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-indent: 36pt;"><span style="font-size: 5pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-indent: 36pt;"><strong><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">Baytex Energy Corp.</span></strong><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">, 2011 Q3 Unaudited Financial Statements, page 36.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 5pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0.0001pt 18pt;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&ldquo;<em>The transition from Canadian GAAP to IFRS has not affected the Corporation&rsquo;s cash flows.</em>&rdquo;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-indent: 36pt;"><span style="font-size: 5pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-indent: 36pt;"><strong><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">Bonavista Energy Corporation</span></strong><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">, 2011 Q3 Unaudited Financial Statements, page 37.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 5pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">These statements, in our view, are half-truths.<span>&nbsp; </span>More accurately, companies choosing the IFRS option to move interest expense out of operating cash flows into cash flows from financing activities should state that IFRS has not affected the corporation&rsquo;s <span style="text-decoration: underline;">overall</span><strong> </strong>cash flows, as this maneuver clearly affects the most watched figure, operating cash flows.<span>&nbsp; </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">True, the <em>combined</em> effect of this change in treatment, summing operating and financing cash flows, is zero <em>overall</em>, but this is not made clear by Baytex and Bonavista&rsquo;s descriptions.<span>&nbsp; </span>Unlike their peers, the two companies do not provide a 2010 reconciliation between Canadian GAAP and IFRS cash flows that illustrates their treatment. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">The bigger problem is that peer results are no longer comparable under IFRS. Of the energy companies covered by Veritas, only <strong>Baytex, Bonavista, Pengrowth, NAL </strong>and <strong>Talisman</strong> have chosen to move interest expense out of operating cash flows, resulting in higher operating figures.<span>&nbsp; </span>In Figure 1, below, we highlight the resulting impact on reported operating cash flows under IFRS.</span></p>
<p class="Table-FigureX" style="margin-right: -90pt;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">Figure 1</span></p>
<p class="TableTitle"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-style: normal; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">Effect of Moving Interest Expense from Operating to Financing Cash Flows Under IFRS</span></p>
<p class="TableTitle"><span style="font-size: 7pt; line-height: 128%; font-weight: normal; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">(Amounts in millions of Canadian dollars, except as noted)</span></p>
<p class="TableTitle">&nbsp;</p>
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<p class="Table-sourcenote"><span style="font-size: 7pt; line-height: 128%;">*2010 Q3 year-to-date data used as no reconciliation is provided between 2010 Canadian GAAP and IFRS cash flows.</span></p>
<p class="Table-sourcenote"><span style="font-size: 2pt; line-height: 128%;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="Table-sourcenote"><span style="font-size: 7pt; line-height: 128%;">Source:<span>&nbsp; </span>Segmented company disclosures and cash flow statements, Veritas.</span></p>
<p class="Table-sourcenote"><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">As illustrated, the change in the treatment of interest materially inflates reported operating cash flows, anywhere from 4% to 15%.<span>&nbsp; </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">In our original report on the subject (see our June 20<sup>th</sup> Accounting Alert:<span>&nbsp; </span><em>IFRS in the Oil &amp; Gas Sector</em>), we argued that, if the market truly sees through the shift in interest expenses, multiples for these companies should contract relative to peers that continue to deduct interest expenses when calculating operating cash flow.<span>&nbsp; </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">We test this possibility in Figure 2 by looking at multiples to forward consensus operating cash flows, pre-IFRS at October 31, 2010, and post-IFRS today.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">Figure 2</span></p>
<p class="TableTitle"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-style: normal; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">Have Multiples Adjusted for the Treatment of Interest Expenses under IFRS?</span></p>
<p class="TableTitle"><span style="font-size: 7pt; line-height: 128%; font-weight: normal; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">(Forward multiples based on consensus operating cash flows)</span></p>
<p class="TableTitle">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="TableTitle" style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://www.proactiveinvestors.com/genera/files/sponsor_extras/Image/Untitled3.jpg" border="0" width="572" height="269" /></p>
<p class="TableTitle" style="text-align: left;">&nbsp;</p>
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<p class="Table-sourcenote" style="margin-left: 9pt; text-indent: -9pt;"><span style="font-size: 7pt; line-height: 128%;">* Former trust peers include:<span>&nbsp; </span>ARC, Crescent Point, Enerplus, Penn West, Peyto and Vermilion.<span>&nbsp; </span>Talisman&rsquo;s large cap peers include:<span>&nbsp; </span>Canadian Natural, Canadian Oil Sands, Cenovus, Encana, Husky, Imperial Oil, Nexen and Suncor.</span></p>
<p class="Table-sourcenote"><span style="font-size: 2pt; line-height: 128%;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="Table-sourcenote"><span style="font-size: 7pt; line-height: 128%;">Source:<span>&nbsp; </span>Bloomberg data, Veritas.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">The evidence is mixed on whether markets are making the necessary adjustments for the IFRS treatment of interest expenses.<span>&nbsp; </span>Figure 2 illustrates that, for <strong>NAL</strong>, <strong>Pengrowth</strong> and <strong>Talisman</strong>, multiples have contracted significantly since October 2010 relative to peers.<span>&nbsp; </span>Two companies, <strong>Baytex</strong> and <strong>Bonavista, </strong>have seen their multiples expand.<span>&nbsp; </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><strong><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">NAL</span></strong><span style="font-size: 8pt; line-height: 128%; font-family: &quot;Century Gothic&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">, <strong>Pengrowth</strong> and <strong>Talisman</strong> have each disappointed on volume guidance in 2011, which explains at least some of their multiple contraction relative to peers since last year.<span>&nbsp; </span>An argument can be made that part of the reduction in multiples is an adjustment for their IFRS choices.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 0.0001pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 8pt;]]></description>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Nov 2011 13:28:00 -0500</pubDate>
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