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Genedrive PLC - Interim Results for the six months to December 2017

 
Genedrive PLC - Interim Results for the six months to December 2017
  • Genedrive's PLC (LON: GDR) HepC test just entered the commercial phase as partner Sysmex launched in EMEA and APAC territories  in recent weeks
  • Re-design of the mTB test in progress, launch date to be announced in the next fiscal year
  • Discussions for the disposal of the Services business entered an exclusivity period, expect an update by the end of June
  • Careful cash management with a £3.9mln cash balance at the end of February, we would expect a capital raise in the second half of calendar year 2018

As discussed more in depth in our initiation note of November 2017, we value Genedrive PLC on a SOTP basis.

Based on expected revenue of c. £15 mln in 2025, we value Genedrive’s diagnostic division approx. £24 mln.

Including the value we attribute to the Services business and the company's net debt leads to an equity valuation of about £24 mln, 3-4x current market capitalization.

Full report is available via Capital Network website
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Genedrive PLC Timeline

Big Picture
May 23 2019

Related Researches

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April 09 2019

  • Avacta Group PLC (LON:AVCT) reported interim results to January 2019, confirming good progress on key development programmes
  • Lead immune checkpoint inhibitor programmes continue to move towards in-man clinical data in 2020
  • Major development partnership and licence agreement with LG Chem potentially worth more than US$300mln plus royalties, announced in December
  • Post-period end, the additional licensing deal with Moderna provides further validation of Avacta’s Affimer platform
  • Appointment of Jose Saro as the chief medical officer strengthens Avacta’s capabilities for evolving from pre-clinical to clinical
  • The Research and Diagnostic Reagents business reports a record sales pipeline

Avacta (LON:AVACT) reported revenues of £1.0mln, down from £1.5mln the year before, largely due to the absence of research services revenues for FTEs working on the Moderna collaboration now that assets have been transferred into their development pipeline. We expect revenues from the LG Chem deal to offset this during the remainder of 2019.

The company reported a cash outflow from operations of £2.9mln and ended the period with £11.8mln net cash following the £11.6mln fund-raise in August. We believe that Avacta can comfortably fund ongoing development programmes into 2020.

The company will be moving its year-end from July to December, meaning that the current year will be reported on the basis of a

17-month period (see table below).

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January 18 2019

Feraccru is a unique, non-salt, formulation oral iron: strong efficacy with “placebo-like” tolerability

Potential to change iron deficiency anaemia (IDA) therapeutic algorithm

Feraccru to become the preferred option for patients not adequately controlled or who are intolerant to generic oral iron supplements (before they switch to intravenous iron).

With an indication in Europe to treat iron deficiency, Feraccru’s use would prevent the occurrence/reoccurrence of iron deficiency anaemia

Feraccru European commercialisation expected to accelerate significantly following the licensing agreement with Norgine announced in September 2018

Key upcoming milestones: results of the head-to-head phase 3 study of Feraccru vs intravenous (i.v.) iron expected in first half (1H) of 2019; Feraccru PDUFA (Prescription Drug User Fee Act) date 27 July 2019

Current market capitalisation of about £40mln is by and large not reflecting Feraccru commercial potential

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May 09 2019

Shield Therapeutics (LON:STX) is making excellent progress having reported two sets of new supportive clinical data on its lead product Feraccru, a low dose oral iron capsule. Feraccru is being positioned as an alternative therapy for patients with iron deficiency (ID) and iron deficiency anaemia (IDA) unable to tolerate or unresponsive to first-line oral iron tablets and as an alternative to second line invasive intravenous (IV) iron.

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